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Showing posts with label NDA. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NDA. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 27, 2019

Pala by-election on 23 September, 2019: Who / which party will win?

When there are 6 assembly constituencies in Kerala without a member to represent in the legislative assembly, the announcement of the election commission to hold the by-election to Pala constituency in Kottayam district of Kerala at a separate date before the others has already received criticisms from many people and political leaders. The election commission of India which received wide reproval for its biased stand in the past parliament elections appears to be not bothered about all these allegations. Anyhow as per the decisions of some and the announcements of the EC, the voting to Pala assembly constituency will be held on September 23rd 2019 and the counting of votes will be done on September 27th and the results will be declared on the same day.

Pala bypoll 2019 became necessitated due to the demise of its one and only MLA K M Mani who was its member since the formation of the constituency in 1965 and thereafter until his death in 2019. Though Pala constituency is a strong hold of Kerala Congress (M), the previous victory of K M Many was with a comparatively smaller margin. 

Who (which party) will win in Pala in this election is a million dollar question at this juncture. People are finding it difficult to make their guesswork or express their opinions due to many factors now, as political atmosphere is in a muddled state in Pala. Probably bypoll to Pala may be one of the most interesting byelections in 2019!

The war for chairman's position within the Kerala Congress (M) by Jose K Mani and P J Joseph factions is the biggest challenge to that party in particular and to the UDF in general. If Nisha Jose is announced by Jose K Many, there are chances for P J Joseph to clash and field another candidate. Even this conflict will definitely affect the chances of the the UDF which otherwise can create and encash the K M Mani sympathy wave for a colourful victory.

Another factor that will affect adversely the UDF is the divided stands by the Congress leaders like Sasi Tharoor M P and the attacks by other leaders like K Muraleedharan M P. Disobedience of the leaders to the authority is a major challenge for the party that will distance some nuetral voters from it.

The LDF's Mani C Kappen is an accepted candidate who proved his might in the previous assembly poll battle by reducing considerably the vote margin of K M Mani who was like an undisputed titan. But as the present government by Pinarayi Vijayan has been proving to be a very big failure mainly due to the highhandedness of the police and DYFI/SFI, most of the people are waiting eagerly to see the end of the LDF government in Kerala.

The above conditions will work favourably for the NDA who otherwise has lesser chance to bag a victory in a place like Pala. The candidature of P C Thomas who is accustomed to Pala, the support of P C George who also has considerable hold on Pala (though his stand not predictable) and the huge campaigns of state and national goliaths, etc may make it difficult for predicting the outcome of this election. 

Saturday, June 8, 2019

P C George MLA: Hero Becomes Zero! The fall of the archangel?


'Pride goes before destruction, and an haughty spirit before a fall'! These versus from the Holy Bible (Proverbs 16:18) are used, known and seen being fulfilled throughout the world. Pride and haughtiness has caused to the fall of all people in the world who have patted them. If not immediately pride will surely see that the person who possesses it will have a severe, sometimes fatal fall one day.
Now coming to the topic, P C George is the sitting MLA of Poonjar legislative assembly in Kerala's Kottayam District. He is the uncrowned king of Poonjar. He had been elected by the people of Poonjar five times earlier. But his victory as the current MLA in 2016 was very remarkable and shining. In 2016 George who contested alone (without having any alliance with any fronts or parties) won with a huge majority of over 27,000 votes proving his mettle and acceptance among the people of Poonjar. George's victory in 2016 was the most stunning in the entire state as he fought alone with three powerful fronts namely the UDF, the LDF and the NDA and won with a thumping margin. This grant victory was the result of the love, affection and trust of the people belonging to all communities (particularly the minorities) who thought that he was a strong leader who would stand by them in their needs even though he was a rough, uncouth and untameable person. 
P C George MLA is also known as a political chameleon. He had been with the LDF early and then in the previous UDF government as the government chief whip. He became a burden to the government and front when he started abusing the government of which he was a part. Then the people saw him criticizing the leadership of the Kerala Congress (M) party in which he was a member and tolerated him with surprise and fun believing that he is fair and trustworthy even though he is outspoken and harsh.
But his true color was revealed in the recently concluded parliament elections which made him a 'zero' instantly. Before the elections he apparently approached the LDF and the UDF for an alliance but having previous experience both the fronts were not interested to admit him and this made him to bargain for making an alliance with the BJP. In April 2019 he joined the NDA to help the victory of BJP candidates in Kerala particularly in Pathanamthitta. The BJP which wants to open an account in Kerala state (where religious fanaticism does not work) by hook or crook thought strongly that it could easily get its dream materialized with the help of leaders like P C George. But the people of Kerala gave a fitting response in the concluded elections to the BJP in general and P C George in particular. This has distanced him not only from most of his loyal supporters in the constituency but also from the BJP for which he worked. In the present circumstances, it will be very difficult for him to win again as an MLA from any constituencies in Kerala.

There are some other political chameleons in Kerala too like Vellapally Nateshan, Alphons Kannanthanam, Tom Vadakkan, A. P. Abdullakutty etc who pledge their policies for power and positions. P C George's case must be a lesson for the so called leaders who switch political loyalties for selfish gains if they have some cadre and goodwill in the society...! It is also good if one realizes that Modi-Amit shah BJP which has no concern even for their own senior gurus like Advani and Joshi will never have any regards for people like Alphons!

Wednesday, June 6, 2018

Who will be the Next Prime Minister of India in 2019

As the time for the 2019 general elections in India is approaching fast, it has become the talk of the town and the most important matter of concern for the majority of population. People of not only India but also many other countries are closely watching the developments and waiting eagerly and anxiously for the outcome of Indian elections. The following are the common questions raised by the citizens of the country wherever they gather. Which political party will win more seats in the next general elections in 2019 and form the government in the center? Who will be the head of the next council of union ministers in Delhi? Who will be the next Prime Minister of India? Will it be Narendra Modi or Rahul Gandhi or a lucky person belonging to a less significant party supported by the united opposition?

India has witnessed many untoward incidents after Narendra Modi became the prime minister of India in 2014. The world has seen the law and order being handled by certain groups of people in India who belong to some right wing terrorist organizations of which even Narandra Modi was said to be an ardent member in the past. Many Indians feel that they have an actor prime minister who never acts sternly on these antisocial elements but often seen lamenting only during elections. Many concerned citizens of the country are of the opinion and are worried that the foundations of our constitution will be in great danger if things continue like this for some more time.

Many people are of the opinion that we have a government at the center that exists on self promotion and propaganda. People say that Narendra Modi came to power in 2014 by appointing several social media agencies that gave wide inflated and exaggerated coverage about Modi, Modi and Modi. As per the opinion of people, some corporate companies who got benefited greatly (or got assurance) from Modi's rule spent huge amounts for this social propaganda activities. Even senior leaders like Yashwant Sinha, Shatrughan Sinha, and many others of BJP and some alliance partners of the NDA like Shiv Sena, share the same feelings and opinions. 

On the other side, the twosome Narendra Modi and Amit Shah, who are mocked and termed as "one-man show and two-man army" by none other than BJP's own M.P. Satrughan Sinha, are having overconfidence to turn things in their favor by hook or crook. They will use all their powers (and of the government departments) and resources to retain power in the center to accomplish their agenda which they could not complete fully, due to lack of majority in the upper house of the parliament and wide discontent from all quarters. 

The incumbent Prime minister of India, Narendra Modi is well known for his intolerance and 'special skill' in cornering leaders and persons who hold different views or opinions. By using the machinery of the state, he keeps many opposition leaders' mouth shut.The number of journalists, writers, thinkers and bloggers killed during his rule is similar to that of some erstwhile dictators' rule.

There is a talk about the opposition unity in India. But it appears nearly possible to materialize as the heads of each party (whether big or small or with one M P or many) dreams big for the top seat. While Rahul Gandhi is the Congress Party's candidate for the prime ministers post, leaders like Mamata Banerjee, Mayavathy, Sharat Pawar, Chandra Babu Naidu, K Chandra Sekhara Rao, Mulayam Singh Yadav, Lalu Prasad Yadav, Arvind Kejriwal, (and who not?) keep an eye on the top job. As Nitish Kumar who was a probable (more accepted) choice for the opposition's representative and to become the prime minister missed it by jumping over the other side. 

Though it is not the right time to predict the outcome of the 2019 general elections, there is no wrong in guessing things, even though anything may happen anytime.

You are welcome to add your comments below....

Saturday, September 30, 2017

Vengara by-election 2017. List of Candidates: The winner is...

As the countdown for the Vengara by elections scheduled  to be held on October 11 is nearing, all the parties concerned are holding hectic electioneering and making special strategies, as the political scene this time is bit different from the earlier ones. Vengara Assembly Constituency in Malappuram District of Kerala used to be one of the surest forts of Indian Union Muslim League which is the strongest part of the UDF. But this time as there is a rebel candidate for the IUML who claims to be capable of dividing the voter bank and defeating the official candidate.

The Final List of Contestants after the last date of withdrawal of Nominations:

1. K.N.A Khader (Muslim League) UDF

2. P.P. Basheer   LDF

3. K. Jayachandran  BJP

4. K.C Naseer   SDPI

5. K. Hamsa  IND

As it is a matter of prestige for the ruling LDF and the incumbent UDF to win the seat, it is the desire of the BJP also to increase their vote share to  understand the graph of their growth in Kerala. 

Muslim League is also little worried of the rebels who dared to raise their voice against the leadership in choosing the candidate. If they happen to lose in Vengara, it will be too much for them and the UDF to bear!

The ultimate winner will be decided on the day of the counting of votes. Until the voting is completed anything can happen..!

Your views and comments are welcome: