Bihar Assembly Elections 2020 Who will win? Peoples opinions and views

(image courtesy: patrika.com)

Even though people of the entire nation are battling for their lives against the covid-19 pandemic just like most of the world countries, the politicians cannot rest as elections to various governments like local self governments, state assemblies, parliament etc become due after completion of their terms. The upcoming Bihar Assembly Elections scheduled to be held in October 2020 amid corona terror is one of the most important elections for the ruling NDA and the aspiring UPA during this covid epidemic season.

While protecting one's own life is the primary concern of the common man, protecting their positions is the most important priority for the politicians. Though this is applicable throughout the country these days, it is significant in states like Bihar where corruption, horsetrading, betrayal, revenge, changing alliances and allegiance, etc are very common. Because of this, if at all those who are presently ruling happen to lose their power and positions, they will have to face serious consequences of their revengeful deeds in the past. Because In India one of the primary aims of the modern Indian politicians is to take revenge on their political enemies and to avenge their opponents with the votes of the people they begged and got.

As the majority of the political leaders in India are corrupt, they have to fear who has power. Impartial people of the country are watching with shock, how the ruling leaders of the BJP are using all the institutions and machineries of the country to accomplish their selfish agendas.

As Elections to the 243 Assembly Constituencies in Bihar (Vidhan Sabha) are scheduled to take place in October 2020, all political parties are working sleeplessly. Nitish Kumar, the incumbent chief minister of Bihar, who was earlier projected as a leading face of secularism, had stunned all the people who hailed him, by joining the NDA which is considered as an anti-secular party. 

Success is inevitable for every small and big leader as power and position is like breathing gas for politicians. Hence each and everyone will formulate strategies and work for the victory in the polls. In the event of the results pointing to a hung assembly, as what is seen today in the country, sometimes chota leaders will become powerful kingmakers and become millionaires overnight. 

As for the UPA, victory in the Bihar Assembly is an opportunity as most of the results of the polls held to assembly constituencies showed an anti-NDA pulse, as most people are having an aversion to the dictatorial ruling of the Modi-Amit Shaw government. Whereas for the NDA and particularly the BJP, winning in Bihar elections is vital for their very survival. Hence as they usually do in elections, they will surely use all the government agencies and machinery for the success of their alliance in the Bihar elections.

There are mixed opinions about the outcome of Bihar Assembly elections. A good portion of the society opine that the after-election scenario in Bihar will be like that of Rajasthan or Madhya Pradesh where the UPA will bag a thumping victory. But they are having a regular apprehension that in the event of UPA attains power in Bihar whether it would succeed in forming a strong government which can retain and protect it from the the snatch of BJP! On the other side, there are many who think that the NDA will regain power in Bihar because it has a strong leadership that can control strictly the other parties and leaders.

Opinions differ. Opinions change. What is yours? Please comment below.

Pala by-election on 23 September, 2019: Who / which party will win?

When there are 6 assembly constituencies in Kerala without a member to represent in the legislative assembly, the announcement of the election commission to hold the by-election to Pala constituency in Kottayam district of Kerala at a separate date before the others has already received criticisms from many people and political leaders. The election commission of India which received wide reproval for its biased stand in the past parliament elections appears to be not bothered about all these allegations. Anyhow as per the decisions of some and the announcements of the EC, the voting to Pala assembly constituency will be held on September 23rd 2019 and the counting of votes will be done on September 27th and the results will be declared on the same day.

Pala bypoll 2019 became necessitated due to the demise of its one and only MLA K M Mani who was its member since the formation of the constituency in 1965 and thereafter until his death in 2019. Though Pala constituency is a strong hold of Kerala Congress (M), the previous victory of K M Many was with a comparatively smaller margin. 

Who (which party) will win in Pala in this election is a million dollar question at this juncture. People are finding it difficult to make their guesswork or express their opinions due to many factors now, as political atmosphere is in a muddled state in Pala. Probably bypoll to Pala may be one of the most interesting byelections in 2019!

The war for chairman's position within the Kerala Congress (M) by Jose K Mani and P J Joseph factions is the biggest challenge to that party in particular and to the UDF in general. If Nisha Jose is announced by Jose K Many, there are chances for P J Joseph to clash and field another candidate. Even this conflict will definitely affect the chances of the the UDF which otherwise can create and encash the K M Mani sympathy wave for a colourful victory.

Another factor that will affect adversely the UDF is the divided stands by the Congress leaders like Sasi Tharoor M P and the attacks by other leaders like K Muraleedharan M P. Disobedience of the leaders to the authority is a major challenge for the party that will distance some nuetral voters from it.

The LDF's Mani C Kappen is an accepted candidate who proved his might in the previous assembly poll battle by reducing considerably the vote margin of K M Mani who was like an undisputed titan. But as the present government by Pinarayi Vijayan has been proving to be a very big failure mainly due to the highhandedness of the police and DYFI/SFI, most of the people are waiting eagerly to see the end of the LDF government in Kerala.

The above conditions will work favourably for the NDA who otherwise has lesser chance to bag a victory in a place like Pala. The candidature of P C Thomas who is accustomed to Pala, the support of P C George who also has considerable hold on Pala (though his stand not predictable) and the huge campaigns of state and national goliaths, etc may make it difficult for predicting the outcome of this election. 

2016 Indian Assembly Election Dates, Details, Opinion polls, surveys

The chief election Commissioner of India Dr Nasim Zaidi on Friday (March 4th) officially announced the dates and other important information about the conduct of the Assembly Elections to be held to the four Indian states and one UT. With this announcement, the model code of conduct has come in to force in these states and union territory. 

The elections to the state assemblies of Kerala, Tamil Nadu and Pondicherry will be held on May-16 in a single phase on one day. And it will be conducted in Assam in 2 phases and in West Bengal in six phases starting from 4th April and ending on 16th May, spread over 43 days.

The counting of votes will be held on 19th May, 2016 in all these states and the results will be made known following the counting. 

This time the electronic ballot boxes (EVMs) to be used in the election will have photos attached to the names of each contestants to avoid the confusion of voters that may arise due to the increased number of fake candidates with similar names of the official candidates who can split some votes and can adversely affect the winning chances of the candidates. 

Another speciality of this election is that 'NOTA' (none of the above button) which is gaining popularity and getting more votes due to the wrong selection of candidates by some parties, also will have an official symbol. 

Even though some news channels have started collecting and airing some opinion polls and surveys to measure the winning chances of parties and candidates, seeing the pathetic failure of different survey and exit poll results conducted and declared by popular news channels and companies in the past, people have lost faith in any of them. 

The actual results of the elections will depend upon many actors. Some factors that are prevailing now and some incidents that may occur during the time of election will also influence the voters' minds. Parties particularly the oppositions in all these states are busy making alliances with other parties for a marginal victory and overthrowing the governments in power by hook or crook..!

Election time is considered as a golden period for most people particularly the mass vote bank who get money, liquor etc from all parties and contestants and many sops by the parties who lure them easily and cheat them there after for five years. The most pathetic part is that we will be forced to see many violences and deaths related to theses elections. 

Arvind Kejriwal most preferred C.M candidate latest pre-poll survey results

(courtesy NDTV.com)

As Delhi - the Capital state of India is getting ready with the final preparations for the most prestigious Assembly elections of 2015, all parties concerned also are making the last bit efforts (mostly tarnishing the opponents personally and / or the party).

As the age old Congress party which was rejected by the people of the country are still in the recovering stage, it is not considered seriously as an active contestant for this local polls. But their presence can do some serious damage to the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)  and indirectly support the BJP.

The BJP which was elected to power some eight months back in India could not succeed in hiding its displeasure and hate for the Indian constitution. Though the PM Modi has not openly come out against any articles in the Constitution, he did not contemn the recent comments by some of his his cabinet and party colleagues against the core pillars of India, secularism and socialism. 

It is a fact beyond doubt that no political party or organization can lead India forward without religious and social tolerance. Those who hatch religious intolerance are the enemies of the mother land who damage the country.

The AAP which is considered as the only hope for most of the common people of India as most of the wise voters of Delhi could see the hidden agenda of the sangh parivar behind the BJP's banner and hope that only Arvind Kejriwal can present a corrupt-free and transparent rule in the capital region Delhi.

As the date of the polls are approaching, the latest and last opinion surveys clearly state that Arvind Kejriwal is the most preferred C.M of Delhi now. As these survey results are not a good news to the opponents, they are making every efforts for their success by hook or crook!!!

Lets wait for some more time to see the actual results. 
Lets also hope that the elections are conducted freely and fairly...

US presidential elections November -6, 2012: Obama vs Romney: Mitt Romney is leading...?

WHO IS IN & WHO IS OUT...?

As there are only ten days left for the much awaited US presidential, not only the Americans but the entire world is eagerly waiting to know who the 45th US president will be...! Though there are many survey results and opinion polls giving slight weightage to the incumbent President Barack Obama, the latest final surveys are showing equal points for both which is feared to end in a tie-up...!

But many silent voters who do not participate in the opinion polls and surveys are expected to be with the Romney camp to see Mitt Romney as the next (45th) President of the United States of America...!

Political  observers and some poll evaluations  are of the opinion that at the end there may be a marginal victory for the new candidate Mitt Romney...!

The world is earnestly praying God to give America a suitable president who can lead it towards peace and prosperity...!

Lets wait and see..........!!!       Please add your comments and Opinions: